
FTSE 100 rally from the latest lows seems to have ended and is signaling a 3rd leg of the down pattern that targets a brand new low for the yr for the FTSE 100 Index. That is on the again of the persevering with crash within the monetary sector as a result of ongoing Subprime sparked credit score crunch.Technical Evaluation of the FTSE 100 Index1. Development Evaluation – The Break under 6000 modified the dynamics of the anticipated summer season correction into one thing way more extreme. The present rally in direction of 6400 though sturdy is seen as being corrective and prematurely of a 3rd leg down. The query mark from a pattern perspective is whether or not the 5821 stage will maintain for a double backside or not. The latest break of 6000 has weakened the bull market. Nonetheless, first issues first, pattern evaluation targets a transfer again in direction of the 5821, a break of which might goal a downtrend to 5500.2. Time Evaluation – The third leg down needs to be longer in period than the primary leg down, because the market would require extra time to construct a base, subsequently indicators a downtrend that’s anticipated to proceed into Mid October no less than.3. Elliott Wave Evaluation – The earlier elliott wave evaluation of the FTSE implied a bigger magnitude downtrend than initially anticipated, which is being confirmed by the unfolding value motion. The chart exhibits a accomplished A wave to 5821 and the present rally as a B wave which confirms expectations of a 3rd leg C wave decrease, that’s anticipated to interrupt the A wave low, for an ABC sample. The goal for the decline is once more 5500.4. MACD Indicator – The MACD gave a really bearish sign with a break of the June 06 lows, which suggests as a minimum that the MACD will revisit the -100 space. The corrective up pattern was from excessive oversold ranges, which has taken the FTSE in direction of 6400. This has helped to work out the MACD’s oversold state which signifies that FTSE 100 Index more and more now seems to be weak to persevering with the downtrend in direction of 5821.Abstract – The FTSE 100 Index is predicted to renew the downtrend in direction of a goal of 5821. Relying on whether or not it breaks or not will decide the inventory market pattern for a while. At this cut-off date, likelihood marginally favors a break of 5821 and a pattern in direction of 5500, subsequently credit score crunch unhealthy information is much from over !Authentic Article Date – fifth Sept 2007